{"content":{"sharePage":{"page":0,"digests":[{"id":"60251378","dateCreated":"1347895508","smartDate":"Sep 17, 2012","userCreated":{"username":"sewen","url":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/user\/view\/sewen","imageUrl":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/user\/pic\/1256135246\/sewen-lg.jpg"},"monitored":false,"locked":false,"links":{"self":"https:\/\/ewenclass.wikispaces.com\/share\/view\/60251378"},"dateDigested":1531976066,"startDate":null,"sharedType":"discussion","title":"predicting population","description":"Use the following sites to help answer the question:
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\nhttp:\/\/www.indexmundi.com\/g\/g.aspx?v=24&c=ja&l=en<\/a>
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\nhttp:\/\/www.indexmundi.com\/g\/g.aspx?v=24&c=in&l=en<\/a>
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\nAnd also pick one country of your own that no one else has posted on already
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\nFrom this data, what might you predict about the population of these countries over the next 30-40 years. Make predictions and compare terms like their growth, their birth rates, and their death rates.
\nRemember, you might end up giving an answer here that is an educated guess, but it should be based on data.","replyPages":[{"page":0,"digests":[{"id":"56574602","body":"For Japan, in 30-40 years, the population will steady out. While the population growth rate is negative, with the recent increase in the birth rate and the decline in death rates, the population shoud rebound and start having a postive increase rate. As for India the population should have a steady decline over the next 30-40 years. The overall population growth rate is declining. This is because of the slowoly droping birth rates coupled with the steady death rate. In 30-40 years Canada, their overall population growth rate will be a negative population growth rate. This is because of the steady birth rate but the increasing death rate. In time Canada could be were Japan is today, in crisis of a decline that they might not being able to get out of.","dateCreated":"1347926992","smartDate":"Sep 17, 2012","userCreated":{"username":"mrioux1995","url":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/user\/view\/mrioux1995","imageUrl":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/user\/pic\/1256231490\/mrioux1995-lg.jpg"}},{"id":"56575384","body":"In the next 30-40 years Polands population growth rate will continue to decline because the death rates are up and the birth rates are down. Polands birth rates at this time are at a steady down fall as the death rates are at a steady rise. The same situation is happening to Belgium where there birth rates are down and death rates are up. As for France, there birth rates are going up but there death rates are also slowly increasing. There is a possibility that in the next 30-40 Poland\u2019s and Belgium\u2019s population will go up. In order to get the population growth rate to slowly go back up, the younger generation would have to have more kids but that is a slim chance because of their economies.","dateCreated":"1347928329","smartDate":"Sep 17, 2012","userCreated":{"username":"mpazdan1997","url":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/user\/view\/mpazdan1997","imageUrl":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/i\/user_none_lg.jpg"}},{"id":"56576108","body":"Japan faces an interesting situation. The country is experiencing both an increase in birth rates, and in death rates. From Geography, I know the birth rate is due to the realization that the country is experiencing a declining population because of the increase of hours women are working. The death rate is because of Japan's old population. The country has many elderly citizens that are beginning to die off which is leaving a huge hole for the rest of the population to fill. In the next 30-40 years, I expect the population to even off and go into a state of slight increase. I believe that the birth rates will continue to climb as the years pass and that once the elderly generation dies off, the death rate will drop.
\nAs for India, I believe the country will continue experiencing a steady increase in population. This increase won\u2019t be a sudden jump, or a sharp incline, but a gradual slope. The birth rates are following a constant decrease and they appear to be in a strong pattern. The death rate for the country seems to be decreasing by the slightest margin per year. Because of these two factors, I believe the population of India to continue to rise at a steady pace for the next 30-40 years. As the country becomes more advance, I expect the population increase to slowly stop, and for the country to go into a holding pattern in terms of people.
\nFor Nigeria, I expect the population in the next 30-40 years to skyrocket. The birth rate in the past few years has jumped to near record heights, and there are no indications that it will decrease in the immediate future. The death rate is also falling to lows never seen before for the country. This combination sets the stage for an enormous boom in population. I believe that this population boom is due to the lack of family planning, and the fact that Nigeria is a 3rd world nation. The continuous armed conflicts that plague the residents of the country will hold the country back from increasing its status in the world.","dateCreated":"1347929539","smartDate":"Sep 17, 2012","userCreated":{"username":"jstasiak1995","url":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/user\/view\/jstasiak1995","imageUrl":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/i\/user_none_lg.jpg"}},{"id":"56577104","body":"India\u2019s population in the next 40 years will continue to drop. I believe that its currently nearing the end of stage 3, and will shortly fall into a stage 4 population growth. Currently however, their birth rates are high and falling due to a non compulsory response from their government. Whereas their death rates are continuing to decrease because of technological and economic factors which are benefiting more and more of their total population. The other country I chose is Brazil. Brazil\u2019s population has only grown from 0.94% to 1.1% in the last 12 years. However, they had a large spike in 2003 and 2008 reaching 1.15% and 1.23% respectively. But after those increases the population gradually fell back down. In the next 40 years, I expect to see more of these sudden increases as Brazil\u2019s infrastructure continues to increase followed by more gradual decreases as the population steadies out to match its resources. The death rate will continue to decrease and the birth rate will continue to increase based on Brazil\u2019s ability to sustain growth.","dateCreated":"1347931397","smartDate":"Sep 17, 2012","userCreated":{"username":"zmartensen1995","url":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/user\/view\/zmartensen1995","imageUrl":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/user\/pic\/1294427883\/zmartensen1995-lg.jpg"}},{"id":"56577316","body":"In the next 30-40 years for japan the NIR will increase, because of right now it shows that their birth rates are rising and their death rates are decreasing. currently the birth rate for japan is starting to increase by a lot. Now with India it is slowly declining because of declining birth rates and increasing death rates. the reason for this is the government is trying to educate the women of the country about safe sex and how many kids is to many. In Togo is steadying off because both death and birth rates are staying the same at roughly the same point on the graph. one reason this is happening is because they are becoming more industrialized, so there isn't the need to have as many kids any more.","dateCreated":"1347931835","smartDate":"Sep 17, 2012","userCreated":{"username":"jlamb1996","url":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/user\/view\/jlamb1996","imageUrl":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/i\/user_none_lg.jpg"}},{"id":"56580660","body":"After seeing a major decrease in birth rates in Japan, they are once again on the rise after hitting an all time low in 2011 for them. Along with this, the death rates are significantly beginning to decrease and most likely will continue to decrease as technology advances. This can predict a rise in the NIR for Japan and a larger population. On the other hand, India had birth rates that continue to drop and death rates that are on a pretty much steady path but with a very small decrease. This could foresee a possible decrease in population in India, assuming that the death rates stop decreasing and the birth rates continue to decrease. This could be because of different methods being used in India to promote less pregnancies. This means that the NIR will decrease in India, and they will most likely have a while before making it into stage 4 and having their NIR reach 0.","dateCreated":"1347940165","smartDate":"Sep 17, 2012","userCreated":{"username":"kwinters1997","url":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/user\/view\/kwinters1997","imageUrl":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/i\/user_none_lg.jpg"}},{"id":"56581020","body":"30 to 40 years from now Japans population will become more even unlike the past few years, which have been high death and birth rates. Then finally starting to decrease they will meet in the middle due to birth rate getting lower due to modernization of women working more and also death rates lower too because of technology and science. In Greece the birth rates began extremely high while the death rates started more at the middle obviously giving Greece a growing population but the birth rates went down fast at a steady pace. Death rates stayed at the middle while slightly crawling up due to maybe sickness. That kept the population from getting too out of control. In the next 30 to 40 years for Greece the population I believe will still be going steady maybe making it to stage 4 completely.","dateCreated":"1347941409","smartDate":"Sep 17, 2012","userCreated":{"username":"mhassan1997","url":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/user\/view\/mhassan1997","imageUrl":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/i\/user_none_lg.jpg"}},{"id":"56581526","body":"In 30 to 40 years the birth, death and growth rates of France and Poland will differ from each other greatly.
\nPoland having initially shown a slightly positive rate of growth, since 2005 it has seen a steady decline of -0.06% and it is reasonable to assume this will continue. However, France shows slow but steady growth over the last 12 years of between 0.4% and 0.5% per year and this is expected to continue. It is therefore fair to say that in 30 to 40 years the growth rate in France is estimated to be greater than that in Poland.
\nThere appears to be a clear difference in the birth rates in both these countries which in part may account for the overall population growth rate.
\nFrance appears to have a 20% higher birth rate than Poland as France has an average birth rate of the 12 per 1000 whereas Poland has a birth rate in the 10 per 1000 level.
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\n The data would imply that the population of France will continue to outgrow the population of Poland in 30 to 40 years.","dateCreated":"1347943286","smartDate":"Sep 17, 2012","userCreated":{"username":"adalton1997","url":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/user\/view\/adalton1997","imageUrl":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/user\/pic\/1360286931\/adalton1997-lg.jpg"}},{"id":"56585956","body":"In Australia, the birth rates continue to decline at a pretty steady pace if you do not count the small spike that they had in 2007. Opposite of that, the death rates were increasing at a very high rate until 2007 when they made a rapid drop. Now they are making their way back up but at a slower pace than the first time. Their population growth was decreasing until 2007 when it started to go back up. I believe that in the next 30-40 years that the birth rates will still be declining but that the death rates will be increasing. This is bad for them because this will start to make their low population get even lower. I think that the spike that they had in 2007 was because of people moving there and not about the actual people being born and dying there. The population growth rate for the Barbados is going down but with a little bit of an increase at some moments. The birth rate is also going at a downward slope and staying even the whole time. The death rate had a huge spike between 2003-2005. After that spike, it has been decreasing and now it looks like it will be going at a pretty even pace staying low. I predict that in the next 30-40 years, the birth and death rate will continue to stay at about the same level which is good because they will not have any spikes.","dateCreated":"1347968719","smartDate":"Sep 18, 2012","userCreated":{"username":"smuehleman1994","url":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/user\/view\/smuehleman1994","imageUrl":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/user\/pic\/1358445287\/smuehleman1994-lg.jpg"}},{"id":"56614330","body":"In Japan I believe that the CBR and CDR will decrease and start to even out in the next 30-40 years, yet in India i think that the CBR and CDR will increase and start to even out in the next 30-40 years. In Madagascar the population percentage starts high then decreases a lot, but I believe that in the next 30-40 years the population percentage with steadily increase ans then finally steady out entirely.","dateCreated":"1348017050","smartDate":"Sep 18, 2012","userCreated":{"username":"tjohnson1997","url":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/user\/view\/tjohnson1997","imageUrl":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/user\/pic\/1314583422\/tjohnson1997-lg.jpg"}},{"id":"56616170","body":"To compare the CBR and CDR of each country, I have to say that in India the Birth rate decreases a fair amount along with the Death rate, too. In Japan the Birth rate starts to decrease a lot ad then finally starts to increase at the end, but the Death rate starts low but then seemingly increases to a higher rate. Now in Madagascar the Birth rate starts fairley high then decreases to a lower rate while the Death rate does the same thing.","dateCreated":"1348020291","smartDate":"Sep 18, 2012","userCreated":{"username":"tjohnson1997","url":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/user\/view\/tjohnson1997","imageUrl":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/user\/pic\/1314583422\/tjohnson1997-lg.jpg"}},{"id":"56617970","body":"Indias predicted fate in the next 30 to 40 years is that it will be declining. Right now it is declining slightly and I think it will continue this will because the CBR are on a slight slow decline while the CDR are higher making the population go down. Unless the birth rate starts to increase the population will decrease.","dateCreated":"1348025636","smartDate":"Sep 18, 2012","userCreated":{"username":"mhassan1997","url":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/user\/view\/mhassan1997","imageUrl":"https:\/\/www.wikispaces.com\/i\/user_none_lg.jpg"}}],"more":1}]}],"more":false},"comments":[]},"http":{"code":200,"status":"OK"},"redirectUrl":null,"javascript":null,"notices":{"warning":[],"error":[],"info":[],"success":[]}}